[CED/CD/EAT] El Niño 2015-2016 : Will It Affect the Wildland Fire Season in Arizona?

[Weiss, Jeremy Lee - (jlweiss)]

El Niño 2015-2016 : Will It Affect the Wildland Fire Season in Arizona?

Precipitation totals since last November for much of the state are below normal despite the 2015-2016 El Niño event having been one of strongest on record. Due in part to this recent lack of rain and snow, abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions now cover the state and coincide with the annual peak in wildland fire. How have past El Niño events affected the potential for wildland fire in Arizona during this time of the year? Has any such influence changed with the unexpected dry conditions over the past six months? In this final Extension Climate Fact Sheet about the 2015-2016 El Niño event, we start to answer these questions and note how current conditions are shaping the wildland fire season this year across the state.

cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem/resources/EN20152016wildlandfire.pdf<http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem/resources/EN20152016wildlandfire.pdf>

In addition to this final Extension Climate Fact Sheet about the 2015-2016 El Niño event, climate specialists and scientists of Cooperative Extension are working with the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS) to produce a detailed summary of the event<http://www.climas.arizona.edu/sw-climate/el-ni%C3%B1o-southern-oscillation>. Please contact us for further information, data, and analysis that could be applied to stakeholder needs in your county.


Jeremy Weiss, Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona
520-626-8063, jlweiss at email.arizona.edu<mailto:jlweiss at email.arizona.edu>

Michael Crimmins, Climate Science Extension Specialist
Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona
520-626-4244, crimmins at email.arizona.edu<mailto:crimmins at email.arizona.edu>

Gregg Garfin, Climate Science, Policy, and Natural Resources Extension Specialist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona
520-626-4372, gmgarfin at email.arizona.edu<mailto:gmgarfin at email.arizona.edu>

Paul Brown, Biometeorology Extension Specialist
Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona
520-621-1319, pbrown at ag.arizona.edu<mailto:pbrown at ag.arizona.edu>


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Jeremy L. Weiss, PhD
Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment
University of Arizona

website:
http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem

office phone:
1.520.626.8063

mailing address:
1064 East Lowell Street
P.O. Box 210137
Tucson, AZ 85721-0137

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