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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">El Niņo 2015-2016 : Will It Affect the Wildland Fire Season in Arizona?<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Precipitation totals since last November for much of the state are below normal despite the 2015-2016 El Niņo event having been one of strongest on record. Due in part
to this recent lack of rain and snow, abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions now cover the state and coincide with the annual peak in wildland fire. How have past El Niņo events affected the potential for wildland fire in Arizona during this time of
the year? Has any such influence changed with the unexpected dry conditions over the past six months? In this final Extension Climate Fact Sheet about the 2015-2016 El Niņo event, we start to answer these questions and note how current conditions are shaping
the wildland fire season this year across the state.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><a href="http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem/resources/EN20152016wildlandfire.pdf">cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem/resources/EN20152016wildlandfire.pdf</a>
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">In addition to this final Extension Climate Fact Sheet about the 2015-2016 El Niņo event, climate specialists and scientists of Cooperative Extension are working with
the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS) to produce a <a href="http://www.climas.arizona.edu/sw-climate/el-ni%C3%B1o-southern-oscillation">
detailed summary of the event</a>. Please contact us for further information, data, and analysis that could be applied to stakeholder needs in your county.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Jeremy Weiss, Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">520-626-8063,
<a href="mailto:jlweiss@email.arizona.edu">jlweiss@email.arizona.edu</a> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Michael Crimmins, Climate Science Extension Specialist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">520-626-4244,
<a href="mailto:crimmins@email.arizona.edu">crimmins@email.arizona.edu</a> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Gregg Garfin, Climate Science, Policy, and Natural Resources Extension Specialist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">520-626-4372,
<a href="mailto:gmgarfin@email.arizona.edu">gmgarfin@email.arizona.edu</a> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Paul Brown, Biometeorology Extension Specialist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">520-621-1319,
<a href="mailto:pbrown@ag.arizona.edu">pbrown@ag.arizona.edu</a> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">------<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Jeremy L. Weiss, PhD<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">School of Natural Resources and the Environment<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">University of Arizona<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">website:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><a href="http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem">http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">office phone:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">1.520.626.8063<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">mailing address:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">1064 East Lowell Street<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">P.O. Box 210137<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Tucson, AZ 85721-0137<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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