El Niño 2015-2016 : Will It Affect Snowfall in Arizona's Highcountry?

Wed Mar 2 14:21:02 MST 2016

El Niño events increase the odds for above-average precipitation in Arizona, as the storm track shifts southward and potentially brings more storms to the region. Such changes currently are reflected in seasonal precipitation outlooks that show heightened chances for above-normal precipitation across the Southwest over the next few months. What might an increase in moisture mean for Arizona? Should we expect higher-than-average amounts of snow in the state's highcountry? If so, does this expectation of greater snowfall extend well into spring? In this fourth Extension Climate Fact Sheet about the 2015-2016 El Niño event, we address these issues and note their importance to various activities in the state.

http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem/resources/EN20152016snowfall.pdf

In addition to periodic Extension Climate Fact Sheets like this one, climate specialists and scientists of Cooperative Extension are working with the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS) to produce a full suite of information related to the 2015-2016 El Niño event  (www.climas.arizona.edu/sw-climate/el-niño-southern-oscillation<http://www.climas.arizona.edu/sw-climate/el-niño-southern-oscillation>). Please contact us for further information, data, and analysis that could be applied to stakeholder needs in your county.

Jeremy Weiss, Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona
520-626-8063, jlweiss at email.arizona.edu<mailto:jlweiss at email.arizona.edu>

Michael Crimmins, Climate Science Extension Specialist
Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona
520-626-4244, crimmins at email.arizona.edu<mailto:crimmins at email.arizona.edu>

Gregg Garfin, Climate Science, Policy, and Natural Resources Extension Specialist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona
520-626-4372, gmgarfin at email.arizona.edu<mailto:gmgarfin at email.arizona.edu>

Paul Brown, Biometeorology Extension Specialist
Department of Soil, Water, and Environmental Science, University of Arizona
520-621-1319, pbrown at ag.arizona.edu<mailto:pbrown at ag.arizona.edu>

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Jeremy L. Weiss, PhD
Climate and Geospatial Extension Scientist
School of Natural Resources and the Environment
University of Arizona

website:
http://cals.arizona.edu/research/climategem

office phone:
1.520.626.8063

mailing address:
1064 East Lowell Street
P.O. Box 210137
Tucson, AZ 85721-0137

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